The four-quarter ahead forecasts of out-of-state domestic visitor arrivals for the second quarter of 1983 through the first quarter of 1984 are presented in the graph below and also in the Table on the following page. Although fourth quarter air arrivals and subsequent 1982 totals ai-e not available at this time, these forecasts suggest that Florida visitor arrivals for 1983 will exceed estimated 1982 totals by some two million or almost six percent. As indicated in the last issue of the TOURISM BAROMETER, previous projections for 1983 were felt to be understated due to the severely depressed 1981 figures that were instrumental in developing the forecast. Utilization of more positive indicators have now produced revised quarterly forecasts for 1983. These new forecasts reflect an optimism spawned during the fourth quarter of 1982 which is expected to carry well over into 1983 projections.
The Dick Pope Sr. Institute for Tourism Studies
Rosen College of Hospitality Management
No part of this publication may be reproduced, transmitted, transcribed, stored in a retrieval system, or translated into any language, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior written permission from The Dick Pope Sr. Institute for Tourism Studies. All copyright, confidential information, design rights and all other intellectual property rights of whatsoever nature contained herein are and shall remain the sole and exclusive property of the Ministry of Tourism of Aruba. The information furnished herein is believed to be accurate and reliable.
Number of Pages
Dick Pope Sr. Institute for Tourism Studies, "Tourism Barometer, Vol. 2, No. 1" (1983). Dick Pope Sr. Institute Publications. 58.