Title

An intraday examination of the federal funds market: Implications for the theories of the reverse-J pattern

Authors

Authors

K. B. Cyree;D. B. Winters

Comments

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Abbreviated Journal Title

J. Bus.

Keywords

CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY; NYSE STOCKS; RETURNS; VOLATILITY; VARIANCE; DYNAMICS; CLOSURES; MODEL; INDEX; Business

Abstract

The intraday literature suggests that returns, variances, and volume form an intraday reverse-J pattern. Two competing theories explain the observed patterns: private information about future security prices and trading stoppages. The Federal funds market allows a unique opportunity to study the causes of intraday patterns because private information common to most markets does not play a role in setting prices. We find reverse-J variance patterns while accounting for generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model effects. Our results support trading stops as an explanation for the reverse-J pattern and suggest that private information is not a necessary condition for the observed pattern.

Journal Title

Journal of Business

Volume

74

Issue/Number

4

Publication Date

1-1-2001

Document Type

Article

Language

English

First Page

535

Last Page

556

WOS Identifier

WOS:000171852500003

ISSN

0021-9398

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