The University of Central Florida (UCF) Forum is a weekly series of opinion columns presented by the UCF News & Information. The columns are the opinions of the writers, who serve on the UCF Forum panel of faculty members, staffers and students for a year. A new column is posted each Wednesday at UCF Today and then broadcast between 7:50 and 8 a.m. Sunday on WUCF-FM (89.9).
Political prediction; Political scientists; Philip Tetlock; Israeli attack; Central Intelligence Agency; CIA; Laws; Nicholas Naseem Taleb; Economic world; Presidential elections
Social scientists just can’t help making predictions, even in the face of overwhelming evidence that we’re likely to be wrong.
Prophecies; Presidents--Election; Politics and government
University of Central Florida
Houghton, David (2012). Political-science forecasts are predictably unpredictable. UCF Today, 2012-06-27. Retrieved from https://today.ucf.edu/political-science-forecasts-are-predictably-unpredictable/
UCF Forum note
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