Title
A Comparison of Empirically Based and Structured Professional Judgment Estimation of Risk Using the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth
Abbreviated Journal Title
Youth Violence Juv. Justice
Keywords
juvenile justice system; risk assessment; SAVRY; juvenile probation; PREDICTIVE-VALIDITY; CLINICAL JUDGMENT; JUVENILE-OFFENDERS; PRACTICE; FRAMEWORK; RECIDIVISM; ACTUARIAL; JUSTICE; SAVRY; METAANALYSIS; PSYCHOPATHY; Criminology & Penology
Abstract
This study builds on a long-standing debate focusing on whether structured professional judgment (SPJ) or empirically based methods of risk estimation are more valid and reliable measures of future behavior by comparing three different measures of risk. Data were collected from the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth administered to a sample of 177 adjudicated juvenile offenders prior to being placed on probation. Three measures of risk were examined: an empirically derived measure of risk using latent class analysis, a violence risk based on SPJ, and a nonviolent delinquency risk based on SPJ. The ability of each measure to predict probation-related outcomes and recidivism was also addressed. Results provide moderate support for the continued use of the SPJ framework and highlight the need for future research regarding risk assessment procedures in juvenile justice settings.
Journal Title
Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice
Volume
12
Issue/Number
1
Publication Date
1-1-2014
Document Type
Article
Language
English
First Page
40
Last Page
57
WOS Identifier
ISSN
1541-2040
Recommended Citation
"A Comparison of Empirically Based and Structured Professional Judgment Estimation of Risk Using the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth" (2014). Faculty Bibliography 2010s. 5177.
https://stars.library.ucf.edu/facultybib2010/5177
Comments
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