Title
Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba
Abbreviated Journal Title
Tourism Manage.
Keywords
Seasonality; Tourism demand; Climate; Panel regression; Small island; Aruba; UNIT ROOTS; INTERNATIONAL TOURISM; SIMULATION; Environmental Studies; Hospitality, Leisure, Sport & Tourism; Management
Abstract
This study estimates the effect of seasonal patterns of pull and push climate elements (rainfall, temperature, wind, and cloud coverage) on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand from the United States (USA) and Venezuela to Aruba. The seasonal patterns were first isolated from the series using the Census X-12 decomposition method, after which the analysis included panel data unit root testing, panel data regression, and Euclidean distance calculation. The results show that both pull and push seasonal factors of climate were relevant in determining the seasonal variations in tourism demand from both countries. The study derives two theoretical propositions: (1) climate is a significant push and pull factor affecting tourism demand; and (2) tourism demand and climate are bounded by intertemporal climate constraints. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Journal Title
Tourism Management
Volume
41
Publication Date
1-1-2014
Document Type
Article
Language
English
First Page
245
Last Page
256
WOS Identifier
ISSN
0261-5177
Recommended Citation
"Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba" (2014). Faculty Bibliography 2010s. 6000.
https://stars.library.ucf.edu/facultybib2010/6000
Comments
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