Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba

    Authors

    J. Ridderstaat; M. Oduber; R. Croes; P. Nijkamp;P. Martens

    Comments

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    Abbreviated Journal Title

    Tourism Manage.

    Keywords

    Seasonality; Tourism demand; Climate; Panel regression; Small island; Aruba; UNIT ROOTS; INTERNATIONAL TOURISM; SIMULATION; Environmental Studies; Hospitality, Leisure, Sport & Tourism; Management

    Abstract

    This study estimates the effect of seasonal patterns of pull and push climate elements (rainfall, temperature, wind, and cloud coverage) on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand from the United States (USA) and Venezuela to Aruba. The seasonal patterns were first isolated from the series using the Census X-12 decomposition method, after which the analysis included panel data unit root testing, panel data regression, and Euclidean distance calculation. The results show that both pull and push seasonal factors of climate were relevant in determining the seasonal variations in tourism demand from both countries. The study derives two theoretical propositions: (1) climate is a significant push and pull factor affecting tourism demand; and (2) tourism demand and climate are bounded by intertemporal climate constraints. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    Journal Title

    Tourism Management

    Volume

    41

    Publication Date

    1-1-2014

    Document Type

    Article

    Language

    English

    First Page

    245

    Last Page

    256

    WOS Identifier

    WOS:000328809600024

    ISSN

    0261-5177

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