Title

Computing Travel Time Reliability In Transportation Networks With Multistates And Dependent Link Failures

Keywords

Failures; System reliability; Transportation networks; Travel time

Abstract

The measurement of transportation network travel time reliability is imperative to provide drivers with accurate route guidance information and to generate the shortest path (or alternative paths) connecting origins and destinations, especially under conditions of varying demands and limited capacities. Previous studies assumed that link failures in a road network are statistically independent and that reliability probabilities are perfectly determinable. In real life, these assumptions are dubious, because the failure of a link in one particular area does not necessarily result in the complete failure of the neighboring link, but may lead to deterioration of its performance. This paper presents a new methodology to study the multistate system reliability analysis of transportation networks for which one cannot formulate an "all or nothing" type of failure criterion and in which dependent link failures are considered. The methodology is presented, using a numerical example, for computing the probability that travel time between an origin and a destination may exceed a threshold. © ASCE.

Publication Date

8-23-2006

Publication Title

Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering

Volume

20

Issue

5

Number of Pages

317-327

Document Type

Article

Personal Identifier

scopus

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0887-3801(2006)20:5(317)

Socpus ID

33747338003 (Scopus)

Source API URL

https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/33747338003

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