Title

Climate Warming Effects On Hydropower Demand And Pricing In California

Keywords

California; Climate change; Hydro power; Pricing

Abstract

High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California's high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California's Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California's high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change. © 2011 ASCE.

Publication Date

7-21-2011

Publication Title

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011: Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability - Proceedings of the 2011 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress

Number of Pages

1298-1307

Document Type

Article; Proceedings Paper

Personal Identifier

scopus

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.1061/41173(414)135

Socpus ID

79960432513 (Scopus)

Source API URL

https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/79960432513

This document is currently not available here.

Share

COinS