Title

Stability Analysis Of The Proposed Caspian Sea Governance Methods

Keywords

Caspian sea; Conflict resolution; Decision- making; Game theory; Graph model for conflict resolution

Abstract

The Caspian Sea, which is bordered Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan, has been the source of a long-standing conflict over the past two decades. The conflict has arisen primarily from unclear legal governance over the sea. To date, five major division methods have been proposed in Caspian Sea negotiations among the littoral states. Nevertheless, parties have not been able to agree over any of the suggested method for governing the sea and sharing its valuable natural and energy resources. In this paper, the Caspian Sea group decision-making problem is modeled and analyzed as a game using a non-cooperative game theoretic approach. The findings match with the current state of the conflict, suggesting that the current deadlock is a strong equilibrium and may last long if there are no major changes to the game structure and parties' behavior. © 2013 IEEE.

Publication Date

12-1-2013

Publication Title

Proceedings - 2013 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2013

Number of Pages

1777-1782

Document Type

Article; Proceedings Paper

Personal Identifier

scopus

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.1109/SMC.2013.307

Socpus ID

84893627765 (Scopus)

Source API URL

https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/84893627765

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