Future Climate Risk From Compound Events

Abstract

Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a 'compound event'. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.

Publication Date

6-1-2018

Publication Title

Nature Climate Change

Volume

8

Issue

6

Number of Pages

469-477

Document Type

Article

Personal Identifier

scopus

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3

Socpus ID

85046890068 (Scopus)

Source API URL

https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85046890068

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