ORCID
0009-0004-2431-0860
Keywords
Econometric models, land use, property value, spatial regression models
Abstract
Florida’s population has been rapidly growing, with a 14.6% growth in population from 2010 to 2020. This growth in population has led to an associated increase in demand for housing and commercial establishments, which have resulted in changes in land use patterns across the state. For this dissertation, we focus on methods to qualitatively and quantitatively examine how land use patterns are likely to evolve under the expected scenario of population growth in Florida while explicitly allowing for interactions between demographics, transportation and land use patterns. In our first objective we build a simulation framework to predict land use evolution at the parcel resolution for the state of Florida. The framework employs data from previous years to understand the patterns in land use evolution and apply the learnings towards forecasting future land use patterns. In our second objective we focus on the Miami Metropolitan area and examine how land use evolution for residential and commercial land use occurs in relation to existing land use patterns, demographics and transportation infrastructure. In the third objective we focus on commercial land value per square foot in the Miami Metropolitan area. We use a hedonic price model with spatial interactions to identify land use patterns, demographics and transportation infrastructure that correlate with commercial land prices. In our fourth and final objective we focus on comparing property values in hurricane flooded areas as compared to similar areas that haven’t been as severely impacted, identifying in what ways property values differ, and therefore how economic growth has been impacted.
Completion Date
2025
Semester
Summer
Committee Chair
Eluru, Naveen
Degree
Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)
College
College of Engineering and Computer Science
Department
Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering
Format
Identifier
DP0029556
Language
English
Document Type
Thesis
Campus Location
Orlando (Main) Campus
STARS Citation
Hoover, Lauren, "Modeling Frameworks to Understand and Predict Land Use Type and Land Value Patterns in Florida" (2025). Graduate Thesis and Dissertation post-2024. 314.
https://stars.library.ucf.edu/etd2024/314