Keywords
Artificial Intelligence; Machine Learning; Deep Learning; Neural Networks; Transformers; Binary Classification
Abstract
Airbnb hosts and renters lack reliable tools to anticipate future occupancy, which is critical for setting competitive prices, planning availability, and making informed booking decisions. This is especially true as artificial intelligence capabilities continue to advance, so focusing on using the most efficient and effective models is vital. This is especially important when considering an average user, who might want a specialized model but has limited resources. By using the correct models, accuracy and computing time can be optimized for the end user. This thesis addresses that practical gap by evaluating several state-of-the-art machine learning models for predicting Airbnb listing occupancy, to produce recommendations that balance prediction quality and practical computing efficiency. We use the random forest classifier, a simple two-layer neural network, a time series transformer, BERT, TCN, and xLSTM as machine learning models. We begin by fine-tuning each model using hyperparameter sweeps to ensure fair comparison through proper optimization. We then use different cities’ Airbnb data to explore the effects of the dataset’s size and temporal density on each model’s results. Understanding these effects is crucial for determining which models perform best under specific conditions. Lastly, we identify limitations of our experimentation and outline future challenges that can be addressed in this field.
Thesis Completion Year
2025
Thesis Completion Semester
Fall
Thesis Chair
Dutta, Aritra
College
College of Engineering and Computer Science
Department
Department of Computer Science
Thesis Discipline
Computer Science
Language
English
Access Status
Open Access
Length of Campus Access
None
Campus Location
Orlando (Main) Campus
STARS Citation
Kilkenny, Liam R., "Occupancy Prediction in Airbnb Listings Using Deep and Classical Machine Learning Models" (2025). Honors Undergraduate Theses. 439.
https://stars.library.ucf.edu/hut2024/439