Title

The Structure Of The Vote In The 2004 Presidential Election

Abstract

This article examines the structure underlying the vote in the 2004 presidential election. Specifically the study uses correlation and factor analysis to discern the extent to which the structure of the vote in 2004 was similar to that of prior elections. The analysis reveals that the structure of the state-by-state vote in 2004 demonstrated a remarkably high level of continuity with recent presidential elections. Indeed at the aggregate level, the stability exhibited in the presidential vote now rivals that found during the zenith of the New Deal party system. This suggests that those who continue to talk about dealignment and ongoing electoral volatility have missed an important development in the contemporary American party system: the stability underlying the presidential vote not only in 2004 but over the past three decades of party competition. © 2005 Policy Studies Organization.

Publication Date

1-1-2005

Publication Title

Politics and Policy

Volume

33

Issue

4

Number of Pages

730-751

Document Type

Article

Personal Identifier

scopus

DOI Link

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2005.tb00220.x

Socpus ID

34248034907 (Scopus)

Source API URL

https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/34248034907

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