Predicting Safety and Mobility Parameters Based on Comprehensive Analytics of Connected Vehicle Data
ORCID
0000-0002-2976-0762
Keywords
Connected Vehicle Data, Traffic Safety, Traffic Mobility, Driving Behavior, Deep Learning
Abstract
Traffic safety and mobility remain critical challenges for modern transportation systems. The emergence of connected vehicle (CV) data offers unprecedented opportunities to capture microscopic, non-aggregated driving dynamics to support precise and finer-grained traffic safety and mobility research. This dissertation develops a comprehensive CV data–driven analytical framework to advance traffic safety and mobility research across multiple roadway contexts, including intersections, segments, freeways, and urban arterial networks. For traffic safety, this research extracts both longitudinal and lateral risky driving behaviors from CV trajectories and integrates them with macro-level roadway, traffic, and visual environment features. A spatial machine learning framework is proposed for intersection crash analysis to capture nonlinear effects and spatial heterogeneity, revealing the critical role of risky turning behaviors. Segment-level safety analysis further incorporates lane-changing behavior and driving volatility using unidirectional analysis units and multivariate statistical models to quantify heterogeneous impacts across crash types. For traffic mobility, a macro–micro cross-attention transformer model is developed to jointly model interactions between aggregated traffic flow states and micro-level driving behaviors for freeway speed prediction, demonstrating improved accuracy under congested conditions and varied forecasting horizons. At the urban arterial network level, a pure CV data–based approach is proposed to estimate key traffic state measures, followed by an abnormality-aware spatiotemporal graph convolutional network to enhance delay and queue prediction under both normal and abnormal traffic conditions. Extensive experiments on real-world freeway and arterial networks validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed methods. Overall, this dissertation demonstrates the value of behavior-aware, CV data–driven modeling for improving traffic safety analysis and proactive mobility management, providing scalable tools to support data-driven ITS operations.
Completion Date
2026
Semester
Spring
Committee Chair
Mohamed Abdel-Aty
Degree
Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)
College
College of Engineering and Computer Science
Department
Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering
Format
Document Type
Dissertation
Identifier
DP0053093
STARS Citation
Han, Lei, "Predicting Safety and Mobility Parameters Based on Comprehensive Analytics of Connected Vehicle Data" (2026). Graduate Studies Theses and Dissertations 2026. 78.
https://stars.library.ucf.edu/gradstudies_etd_2026/78
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