ORCID
0009-0009-9532-8650
Keywords
non-limited access; arterials; arterial corridor; wrong way driving crashes; hotspot corridors; corridor methodology
Abstract
Wrong-way driving (WWD) crashes represent a critical safety issue, as they are head-on crashes resulting from a vehicle traveling against the designated direction of traffic flow on a controlled-access roadway or access ramp. Most WWD research focused on limited-access facilities, with limited attention to arterials. Existing WWD studies do not consider interactions between roadway segments and intersections or uncertainty in WWD entry points. This dissertation develops a corridor methodology to analyze arterial wrong-way crashes (AWWCs) using crash data from crash reports, non-crash WWD events (computer-aided dispatch and citation data) from the Florida Highway Patrol, and corridor and side street features from Google Maps. Three corridor definitions were developed in South Florida using geographic information system shapefiles to identify homogeneous arterial corridors. Definition 1 used area type (urban/rural) and speed, definition 2 used area type and traffic volume, and definition 3 used area type and lane count. These definitions were evaluated using regression and machine learning models to identify the most suitable definition, with definition 3 selected based on statistical and engineering judgment. Additional granular and crash data were collected for selected definition 3 corridors, and regression and logistic models were developed to identify factors affecting AWWC frequency, severity, and time of day. Results showed that urban, one-way corridors, higher speeds and traffic volumes, higher WWD non-crash events, lower vegetation medians, and reduced lighting continuity increased AWWCs. Higher severity was associated with lower left-turn lane densities, dry conditions, weekdays, two-way corridors, and impaired driving. Nighttime AWWCs were associated with impaired driving, weekends, clear weather, higher vegetation and raised medians, and limited corridor lighting. The methodology was then applied to Central Florida to assess its robustness and transferability. High-risk corridors (hotspots) were identified by combining observed and predicted AWWC values, showing that hotspots exhibit features associated with increased AWWCs.
Completion Date
2026
Semester
Spring
Committee Chair
Al-Deek, Haitham
Degree
Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)
College
College of Engineering and Computer Science
Department
UCF Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering
Format
Document Type
Dissertation
Identifier
DP0053188
Release Date
5-15-2028
STARS Citation
Ibrahim, Shahad, "Development of a Corridor Methodology for Predicting Wrong-Way Driving Crashes on Florida Arterials" (2026). Graduate Studies Theses and Dissertations 2026. 90.
https://stars.library.ucf.edu/gradstudies_etd_2026/90
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